Match Info

National League North - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	King`s Lynn Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.00	5.00
	1.68	3.70	4.00
	1.62	4.23	4.93
	1.66	4.05	4.51	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.80
	1.67	3.74	4.19
	1.57	3.85	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.9)	3.96 ↑ (3.35)	4.56 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

King`s Lynn Town
56.8%

Draw
23.1%

Southport
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

King`s Lynn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in King`s Lynn Town's performance.

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for King`s Lynn Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with King`s Lynn Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

King`s Lynn Town - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, King`s Lynn won 4.

King`s Lynn is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Southport has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, King`s Lynn is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, King`s Lynn has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 16:8 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for King`s Lynn against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Southport	13	2	4	7	13:23	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King`s Lynn Town
English National League North
17.10.26	Merthyr Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	AFC Telford United - King`s Lynn Town	0:5 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Bedford Town - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English National League North
12.09.26	King`s Lynn Town - Chorley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLW
- Southport
English National League North
17.10.26	Southport - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Harborough Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Southport - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Southport - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.02.26	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	2:0
01.11.25	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:0
08.03.25	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:2
23.11.24	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	1:0
23.12.23	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:4
09.09.23	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	1:4
15.04.23	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	3:2

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